Incumbents
Mostrando 1-12 de 18 artigos, teses e dissertações.
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1. A Influência da Reeleição nas Políticas Fiscais Subnacionais
Resumo Este artigo analisa empiricamente o efeito potencial do fim da reeleição para o Poder Executivo local sobre as finanças públicas municipais no Brasil. Estudo econométrico baseado em dados em painéis dos municípios brasileiros, entre 2001 e 2012, indica que prefeitos em primeiro mandato e que concorreram à reeleição apresentaram comportamento
Rev. Bras. Econ.. Publicado em: 22/07/2019
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2. Mapping Ideological Preferences in Brazilian Elections, 1994-2018: A Municipal-Level Study
This article investigates the electorally expressed ideology of Brazilian voters via ecological analysis at the municipal level between 1994 and 2018. Our purpose is to analyze the main conditioners of aggregated patterns of ideology measured at a high spatial resolution. We test four major explanations for the variation in ideology at the municipal level: t
Bras. Political Sci. Rev.. Publicado em: 07/02/2019
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3. A disputa nos governos estaduais (1994-2014): a batalha entre incumbents e oposição
Resumo O jogo entre governo e oposição sempre foi algo amplamente discutido na ciência política. Trabalhos recentes indicam que o sistema partidário de alguns países tem forte inclinação pró-governo, enfraquecendo a oposição partidária. Atualmente, no Brasil, discute-se como reduzir o poder de chefes do Executivo, como a recente proibição da re
Opin. Publica. Publicado em: 2017-04
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4. Corporate Dependence in Brazil's 2010 Elections for Federal Deputy
What is the profile of candidates whose electoral campaigns are the most dependent on corporate donations? Our main objective is to identify factors that help explaining the level of corporate dependence among them. We answer this question in relation to the 2010 elections for federal deputy in Brazil. We test five hypotheses: 01. right-wing party candidates
Bras. Political Sci. Rev.. Publicado em: 12/12/2016
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5. Cash Transfers and Mayoral Elections: The Case of Sao Paulo's Renda Mínima
Several recently published studies analyze the effects of national conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs, such as the Brazilian Bolsa Família and the Mexican Oportunidades, on presidential elections. Most of them show that these programs boost incumbents' electoral support among the poor. This research note is the first scholarly attempt to investigate t
Bras. Political Sci. Rev.. Publicado em: 2015-05
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6. A study on the impact of campaign finance, political capital and gender on electoral performance
This article analyzes the association between political finance and electoral performance in the 2010 Brazilian elections for state and federal deputies. It also investigates the interaction effect of incumbency and gender on this association. We conclude: (i) there is a positive and statistically significant association between political finance and elector
Bras. Political Sci. Rev.. Publicado em: 2014
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7. Three essays on local demand for public services
Local provision of public services has the positive effect of increasing the efficiency because each locality has its idiosyncrasies that determine a particular demand for public services. This dissertation addresses different aspects of the local demand for public goods and services and their relationship with political incentives. The text is divided in
Publicado em: 03/05/2012
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8. Voice over IP 2.0 : an analysis of limits and potential of IP2IP telecommunication
Internet Telephony (VoIP) is changing the telecommunication industry. Oftentimes free, VoIP is becoming more and more popular amongst users. Large software companies have entered the market and heavily invest into it. In 2011, for instance, Microsoft bought Skype for 8.5bn USD. This trend increasingly impacts the incumbent telecommunication operators. They s
Publicado em: 23/04/2012
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9. Should voters be afraid of hard budget constraint legislation? fiscal responsibility law in brazilian municipalities
This manuscript demonstrates that voters have nothing to be afraid of when new hard budget constraint legislation is implemented. Our claim is that this kind of legislation reduces the asymmetry of information between voters and incumbents over the budget and, as a consequence, the latter have incentives to increase the supply of public goods. As a nationwid
Publicado em: 29/06/2010
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10. Electoral rules, political competition and fiscal spending: regression discontinuity evidence from brazilian municipalities
We exploit a discontinuity in Brazilian municipal election rules to investigate whether political competition has a causal impact on policy choices. In municipalities with less than 200,000 voters mayors are elected with a plurality of the vote. In municipalities with more than 200,000 voters a run-off election takes place among the top two candidates if nei
Publicado em: 16/06/2010
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11. The political economy of public spending in Brazil city / A economia polÃtica dos gastos pÃblicos municipais no Brasil
Through the New Political Economics. theoretical structure this paper intends to explore how certain aspects of Brazilian municipalities. politics affect economic variables. Starting with a database consisting of 5594 cities in the year of 2005, cross-section econometric models are estimated by SUR (Aitken.s GLS) in order to explain how expenditures on publi
IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Publicado em: 24/02/2010
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12. O efeito da intenção de reeleição sobre gastos em saúde: uma análise com base no modelo de reputação política
The effect of reelection intention on public health expenditures: An analysis based on reputation models. The political model of reputational-building argues that if the incumbent politician aspires to be reassigned, he/she must act in the voters' interest to obtain their approval and consequently their votes. Considering that voters are sensitive to public
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy. Publicado em: 2010-03