Forecasting And Simulation
Mostrando 1-12 de 30 artigos, teses e dissertações.
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1. PREPARAÇÃO E VALIDAÇÃO DE ARQUIVOS DE ENTRADA PARA USO NO SIMULADOR DE QUALIDADE DO AR (CMAQ)
According to the inventories carried out by the air pollution control agencies, vehicle emissions are responsible for more than 70% of air pollutants in metropolitan regions. Proper handling of CMAQ input data is an important step in the formation of a database for the model. Thus, it is necessary to insert the meteorological data using the Weather Research
Quím. Nova. Publicado em: 2020-12
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2. The Use of an Atmospheric Model to Simulate the Rocket Exhaust Effluents Transport and Dispersion for the Centro de Lançamento de Alcântara
ABSTRACT: This paper introduces a new approach to represent the rocket exhaust effluents into an atmospheric dispersion model considering the trajectory and variable burning rates of a Satellite Vehicle Launcher, taking into account the buoyancy of the exhausted gases. It presents a simulation for a Satellite Vehicle Launcher flight at 12:00Z in a typical da
J. Aerosp. Technol. Manag.. Publicado em: 2017-06
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3. BIAS DETECTION IN DEMAND FORECASTING / DETECÇÃO DE VIÉS NA PREVISÃO DE DEMANDA
The purpose of this dissertation is to propose two new methods for detection of biases in demand forecasting. These methods are adaptations of two statistical process control techniques, the EWMA control chart and the CUSUM control chart (or CUSUM algorithm), to the context of the detection of biases in demand forecasting. The performance of the proposed met
IBICT - Instituto Brasileiro de Informação em Ciência e Tecnologia. Publicado em: 14/09/2011
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4. Modelos de séries temporais com coeficientes variando no tempo
In this work they are presented extensions of Auto Regressive and Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity models with coefficients varying in time. These coefficients have been used as models for non stationary real time series, specially for financial series. The objective of this work is to present the models and the techniques involved in estimatin
Publicado em: 2009
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5. Fuzzy inference systems approach for long term hydrothermal scheduling / Sistema de inferencia nebulosa ao planejamento da operação hidrotermica de medio prazo
The long term hydrothermal scheduling lies in the optimization of the water resource usage through the maximization of the hydroelectric production and the minimization of the thermal plants operation. Its goal is to assure an economic and reliable load supply throughout the study stages. This problem can be characterized by exhibiting a complex nature, sinc
Publicado em: 2009
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6. Precipitation forecast aided by weather radar for early warning system of urban floods / Previsão de chuva com auxílio de radar de tempo visando a um sistema de alerta antecipado de cheias em áreas urbanas
To reduce human and material losses during floods it is feasible to concisely study the rainfall forecast as the main part of an early warning system. The use of weather radar information, when linked to physically-based forecast models, can contribute for monitoring and forecasting of intense rainfall episodes. Thus, the rainfall forecast, based on using of
Publicado em: 2009
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7. Real-time optimization of water supply system operation / Otimização energética em tempo real da operação de sistemas de abastecimento de água
This work presents a computational model for real-time optimization of water-distribution networks operation. An integrated software tool has been developed which is composed of three main modules: (i) a hydraulic simulator that performs the extended period simulation of the system (EPANET); (ii) a short-term demand-forecasting model, based on the moving Fou
Publicado em: 2009
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8. SIMULATION OF THE VERTICAL TRANSPORT OF ZINC, LEAD AND COPPER IN CONTAMINATED SOILS / SIMULAÇÃO DO TRANSPORTE VERTICAL DE ZINCO, CHUMBO E COBRE EM SOLOS CONTAMINADOS
The environmental contamination by metallic trace elements is a problem that is getting worse around the world due to the growth and the technologic development of the humanity. Among the main sources of this kind of contamination are the atmospheric deposition of particles in soils located around industrial complexes and the prolonged and concentrated appli
Publicado em: 2009
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9. Decision making system with the purpose to buy and sell equities using Fuzzy logic. / Sistema de tomada de decisão para compra e venda de ativos financeiros utilizando lógica fuzzy.
O Sistema Proteu Fuzzy é um sistema de tomada de decisão para compra e venda de ativos financeiros que visa auxiliar a figura do analista técnico (de modo imparcial e racional), informando quando existe uma boa oportunidade para se comprar ou vender um determinado ativo (e.g. ações). Utilizaram-se, como base para as suas decisões, técnicas de intelig�
Publicado em: 2008
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10. Experimentos com o modelo regional eta em diferentes configurações durante o período salljex e mecanismos de mesoescala associados ao desenvolvimento de scm / Experiments with the regional eta model in different settings during the salljex period and mesoescale mechanisms associated with MCS development
The rainfall regime over southern Brazil, Uruguay and northern Argentina is strongly influenced by Mesoscale Convective Complexes (MCCs) that develop during night time associated with the Low Level Jet (LLJ) to the east of Andes. As they are mesoscale systems, their predictability depends on the model resolution and ability in representing the main features
Publicado em: 2008
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11. Modelagem computacional de estruturas anatômicas em 3D e simulação de suas imagens radiográficas / Computational 3D modelling of anatomic structures and simulation of its radiography images
The conventional methods of quality control applied to radio diagnosis are the best way to have assured good quality of the produced images. Due the amount of variables to consider, the study of particular issues of the process of formation of radiological images requires complementary computational tools. However, the computational voxel based phantoms are
Publicado em: 2008
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12. Ciclo de vida do sistema de monção da América do Sul: observação e simulação / The life cycle of the south American monsoon system: observation and simulation
O ciclo de vida do Sistema de Monção da América do Sul (SMAS) possui um papel importante na duração da estação chuvosa, principalmente sobre o sudoeste da Amazônia e Regiões Centro-Oeste e Sudeste do Brasil, afetando a economia através dos impactos nos setores agrícola e energético. Neste estudo é aplicado um novo critério baseado no comportame
Publicado em: 2008